Migration and Urbanization

"As always on this boulevard, the faces were young, coming annually
in an endless migration from every country, every continent, to alight here 
once in the long journey of their lives."
-Brian Moore, author


01/01/2002 Format for printing

We Wish to Learn:

• What are the forces that cause human migration?
• What are the most significant movements of peoples in today's world?
• How are our cities growing and what are the consequences of increasing urbanization?


Jump to: [Historical Movements][Today’s Migration][Why People Migrate][Will Migration Continue?][The Displaced][U.S. Migration][Mexico to the U.S?][Urbanization][Readings]


Historical Movements

  • Hominids Out of Africa
  • Homo Sapiens out of Africa
  • Primitive radiation's following food
  • Tribes of Hunter Gatherers into River Valleys
  • Exodus of Old testament
  • Romans to undeveloped north, Barbarians and Mongols, etc.
  • European expansion during early 1900’s
    • European population doubles between 1820 and 1920, creating enormous stresses
    • The Pioneer explosion occurs - across face of Earth
    • Colonial powers claim over 80% of Earths surface
    • in 1820, there were more than 1000 ships carrying lumber from North America to Europe - full time.
    • 33 million Europeans arrive in America between 1820 and 1920
  • Stalin shifted subjects around at will
  • Mao redistributed millions of Chinese
  • Partition of India separating Muslims and Hindus 



Today's Migration

Today, international migration is at an all-time high. About 2% of the Earths population has moved away from the country of origin, driven by job availability, civil strife, etc.
 
Relative percentage of U.S. immigrants
by  region of origin
Today's migrant may be found in the developing world (generally working in the generation of primary resources such as oil) or in the developed world and are attracted by  guest worker programs, recruitment, company transfers, family reunification, personal desire, and refugee programs.


Why People Migrate
Type
Pull/Demand
Network
Push/Supply
Economic Guest worker programs,
Recruitment, 
Company transfers
Job Information,
Employers, 
Media,
Labor recruiters,
Smugglers
Compatriots
Unemployment
Underemployment
Low wages
Non Economic Family reunification's,
Personal desire
Transport and communication networks
Communities,
Refugees
War,
Political and religious persecution

Examples

  • Germany in the 1960’s instituted a guest worker program, designed to provide labor for factories and assembly lines
  • In 1973, Germany ended its guest worker program, but the established migration continued nonetheless driven by push and network factors.
    • German managers are used to hiring migrants
    • Economy structured around wage scales, etc.
    • Plentiful supply of laborers, etc.
  • Similar flows continue, for example, between Latin America and the United States, Morocco and France, Indonesia and Malaysia, etc.



Will Migration Continue?

  • Uneven Population Growth
    • Between 1950 and 1995, average life expectancy increased from 41 to 64 years. Population more than doubled. Rise in developing world was greater
    • Population share of the developing world went from 70% in 1950 to 80% in 1995.
  • Communications Revolution
    • Improved knowledge of opportunities
    • lower cultural barriers
  • Transportation Revolution
    • Migrants can travel anywhere today at costs that are relatively low compared with earlier times (e.g., 1700’s)
  • Human Rights Revolution



The Displaced

  • 1951 UN Convention on Refugees: defines refugees solely in terms of persecution
  • Excluded are those who fear famine or are pushed out by natural disasters
  • Overwhelming majority come from developing nations. Many of them go (or try to go) to other developing nations.
Countries with the largest international migrant stock, 1990 (thousands)
 
 

Countries with the highest percentage of international migrants in total population, 1990  (percent)
 
 
 
 

Annual net international migration totals and migration rates in the world's major areas, 1990-1995
 
 
 
 

Migration in the early 1990’s




U.S. Migration

  • 1790-1820: primarily English speaking
  • 1840-1850’s Irish/German
  • 1880-1914 South and East Europeans to factory jobs
  • W.W.I limited immigration
  • 1920’s quota system implemented to maintain northern European immigration base
  • Great Depression and W.W.II limited immigration
  • 1965: Elimination of country- by-country quotas - migrant origin shifts to Asia and Latin America - ~800,000 persons/yr
    • ~55% family reunification
    • ~15% employees
    • ~15% refugees
    • ~12% other categories

Mexico to the U.S?
  • Per capita Income (1990): Mexico $5,980; U.S. $21,360.
  • Mexico is U.S.’s third largest trading partner, sending 70% of its exports to the U.S.
  • Two thirds of foreign investment in Mexico is from the U.S.
  • 3,000 mile border. 2 million Mexican immigrants (~1 million illegal)
  • 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act legalized about million undocumented immigrants

Urbanization

Future projections: 1994-2025
 
 


Global urban population in developed and developing countries
 
 
 


Global rural  population in developed and developing countries 
(same legend as above figure)
 
 

Global urban growth rates



 
 
 


The World's 25 Largest Cities, 1995
 
Population (Millions)
Tokyo, Japan 
26.8
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16.4
New York, USA
16.3
Mexico City, Mexico
15.6
Bombay, India
15.1
Shanghai, China
15.1
Los Angeles, USA
12.4
Beijing, China
12.4
Calcutta, India
11.7
Seoul, South Korea
11.6
Jakarta, Indonesia
11.5
Buenos Aires, Argentina
11.0
Tianjin, China
10.7
Osaka, Japan
10.6
Lagos, Nigeria
10.3
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
9.9
Delhi, India
9.9
Karachi, Pakistan
9.9
Cairo, Egypt
9.7
Paris, France
9.5
Metropolitan Manila, Philippines
9.3
Moscow, Russia
9.2
Dhaka, Bangladesh
7.8
Istanbul, Turkey
7.8
 Lima, Peru
7.2
Source: United Nations, Population Division. World Urbanization Prospects. 1994

 


Proportion of the world's population by geographic region. 
Note: Africa and Asia's population have been growing most rapidly. 




Readings and References:

  • “International Migration: A Global Challenge”, Population Bulletin, Population Reference Bureau, Inc.., Vol. 51, No. 1, 1996
  • Robert Geodes, Ed., Cities in our Future, Island Press, 1997.
  • Samuel P. Hunting ton, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order, Simian and Schuster, 1996.
  • Peter van deer Veer, Nation and Migration, University of Pennsylvania Press, 1995
  • Joel E. Coven, How Many People can the Earth Support?, Norton, 1995.
  • United Nations, International Migration Policies, UN Publication, 1995.

  • World Resources  1996 – 1997   :  The Urban Environment

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